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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1UpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)51% (28209–27250, n=55459)60% (7281–4813, n=12094)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$4.6M$1.4M$57K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #10PM monthly #512
Sides with the consensus64% (105 of 163 open)71% (67 of 95 open)65% (46 of 71 open)73% (37 of 51 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%98% of 2634 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)7% (won 99% of 3291)6% (won 89% of 166)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)18% (won 100% of 9212)20% (won 96% of 525)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)20% (won 100% of 9904)34% (won 98% of 899)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)56% (won 100% of 27970)40% (won 100% of 1044)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1UpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $20KOver $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.8K—No $15KNo $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Under $2.0KOver $9
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Under $5.2K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $752—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $686—No $929—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596—Yes $154—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $721—Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $67—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $328—Yes $6—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $118—Over $54—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $32—No $62—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $51—Under $12—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K—No $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $1.2K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $1.5K—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $123—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $153—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $769—Yes $274—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $412—Under $606—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $837—No $174—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $801—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $872—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $956—Over $7—
FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $161—Over $215—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $228—Yes $134
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $40—No $200—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $215—CD Pamplona $8—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
No $185—No $35—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $112—Yes $79—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $112—Yes $52—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $78—Yes $60—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $52—Over $6—
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $7—No $23—
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $18—No $6—