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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1TunSahur
Record (consensus markets)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.0M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #55PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus63% (201 of 320 open)54% (100 of 184 open)65% (108 of 167 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

68 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1TunSahur
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Alex de Minaur $7.4KAlex de Minaur $1.3KTomas Etcheverry $56K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KUnder $1.6KOver $1.5K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.7KJoanna Garland $1.2KJoanna Garland $5.3K—
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
Henri Haupt $868Alexandre Aubriot $2.5KHenri Haupt $54—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
Ignacio Parisca $320Eric Vanshelboim $663Ignacio Parisca $302—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $210Yes $68No $663—
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
Iliyan Radulov $139Bruno Pujol Navarro $67Iliyan Radulov $612—
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
opposite sides · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
Carlota Martinez Cirez $381Daria Yesypchuk $12Carlota Martinez Cirez $42—
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
Tomas Curras Abasolo $17Robert Guna $24Tomas Curras Abasolo $319—
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Tena Lukas $2Pia Lovric $37Pia Lovric $250—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
Gaia Maduzzi $72Lisa Pigato $46Gaia Maduzzi $56—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $20KLorenzo Musetti $10KLorenzo Musetti $53K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.1KOver $29Over $7.8K—
W50 Heraklion: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
Nuria Brancaccio $27Nuria Brancaccio $94Nuria Brancaccio $15—
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid CF $24KAEK $4.7K——
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.7KUnder $15K——
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.1K—No $3.3K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.6KTomas Machac $3.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5KUnder $2.1K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Monzon
Franco Agamenone $65—Ignacio Monzon $2.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7KYes $10——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380Yes $503——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89Yes $691——
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $303Under $333——
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $223—Hawks $400—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $533Grizzlies $3——
Will Al Wahda FC (UAE) win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $506Yes $6——
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $311No $147——
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $387Yes $23——
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $201Over $137——
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $291No $8——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $142Over $137——
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $12Thunder $251——
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $190Sabres $15——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $143Over $28——
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $137Yes $6——
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Angelica Raggi
opposite sides · consensus Angelica Raggi
Angelica Raggi $49Angela Fita Boluda $79——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $47—Over $48—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52Under $43——
M25 Heraklion: Oskari Paldanius vs Pablo Perez Ramos
opposite sides · consensus Pablo Perez Ramos
Oskari Paldanius $63Pablo Perez Ramos $23——
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - United21 Group B
opposite sides · consensus EYEBALLERS
Esport Academy Copenhagen $8EYEBALLERS $37——
W15 Monastir: Pauline Gloeckner vs Sophie Ehrenbergerova
opposite sides · consensus Pauline Gloeckner
Pauline Gloeckner $17Sophie Ehrenbergerova $16——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K—Under $45—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8KNo $11K——
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.7K—Under $1.5K—