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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)86% (1795–294, n=2089)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.7M$14.9M$89K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #39PM monthly #35 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus65% (106 of 164 open)no open consensus position50% (22 of 44 open)92% (48 of 52 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12——Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1959 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)13% (won 9% of 255)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)6% (won 57% of 111)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)77% (won 97% of 1502)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1xxNyx
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek
opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
Andres Martin $902—Filip Jeff Planinsek $7.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain
Lucas Poullain $1.7K—Calvin Hemery $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Santiago De la Fuente
Carlos Sanchez Jover $425—Santiago De la Fuente $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $213——Yes $1.0K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $326—Max Dahlin $495—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $183—Lakers $210—
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut $269—Sandro Kopp $6—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $166—Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $197—Lakers $248—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Lakers $155—Lakers $282—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162—Raptors $116—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51—Over $29—