Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	WarriorH	surfandturf	pleaseplease123	BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)	11% (427–3397, n=3824)	52% (273–252, n=525)	49% (345–353, n=698)	45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL	$174K	$4.1M	$3.2M	$10.6M
Tracked as	PM monthly #71	was PM monthly #326	was PM monthly #92	PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus	82% (168 of 206 open)	0% (0 of 2 open)	no open consensus position	89% (146 of 164 open)
Strongest topics	NBA +3 pts n=10, ROI −2%	MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10% NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%	none with 10+ settled	NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic	Entertainment −13 pts, n=147	NFL −11 pts, n=58	MLB −1 pts, n=694	—
Settled positions, side won	11% of 2095 at avg 17¢, ROI −4%	53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%	49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%	97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢	83% (won 1% of 1737)	20% (won 12% of 109)	0% (won 0% of 2)	10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢	4% (won 36% of 87)	21% (won 46% of 114)	38% (won 43% of 266)	36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢	4% (won 51% of 87)	33% (won 60% of 176)	61% (won 54% of 426)	35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up	9% (won 83% of 184)	26% (won 82% of 137)	0%	19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

104 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	WarriorH	surfandturf	pleaseplease123	BreakTheBank
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No	No $1.4K	Yes $2.3K	—	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $27	—	—	Yes $52K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No	Yes $489	—	—	Yes $29K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	No $429	—	—	No $29K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $17	—	—	Yes $22K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $12	—	—	Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $12	—	—	Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $11	—	—	Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $11	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10	—	—	Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10	—	—	Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $9	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $9	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $14	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $8	—	—	Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $14	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $6.8K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $8	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine? same side · consensus No	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $4.5K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes	No $1.2K	No $2.7K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $3.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $3.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $3.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $3.6K