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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
btnaFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (47–23, n=70)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$53K$4.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #543PM monthly #9PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)74% (162 of 218 open)54% (21 of 39 open)57% (84 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +10 pts n=26, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won61% of 46 at avg 52¢, ROI +3%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 31% of 13)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 57% of 7)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 64% of 14)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 92% of 12)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

51 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbtnaFlaznorpprimmRN1
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63Colts $5.7KCowboys $4.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.8K—No $2.4K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $4.7K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $84Over $5.0K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $4.3K—Olympique de Marseille $3
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.9K—Yes $124
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $3.5K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $2.2K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6K—No $26
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Under $268
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Colts $94Cowboys $2.0K
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Virginia Cavaliers $1.7K—Arkansas Razorbacks $347
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $299—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4K—No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $231—Virginia Cavaliers $564
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $535—Over $18
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $349—Virginia Cavaliers $2
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334—Under $7
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
—Arkansas Razorbacks $6—Virginia Cavaliers $49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $76K—No $4.7K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $48K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $47KLions $2.2K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $17K—No $14K
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23KYes $543——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $15K—Under $7.9K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.1K—Over $10K
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.5K—No $8.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5K—No $5.9K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $5.5K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.1K—Yes $360
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7K—No $2.3K