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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| marvelousmarvin | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (53–35, n=88) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 50% (26154–25785, n=51939) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $3.6M | $14.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #395 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (23 of 39 open) | 54% (79 of 146 open) | 66% (39 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 29 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 7) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 76% (won 100% of 22) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | marvelousmarvin | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Broncos | — | Panthers $6.6K | Broncos $41K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.7K | Under $20K |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $285 | Rams $14K | — |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $133 | Rams $13K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6.8K | Under $4.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $131 | Giants $7.7K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $1.2K | Lions $6.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $97 | Over $6.9K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.9K | Under $2.0K | — |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.3K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.0K | Over $99 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.0K | Under $2.0K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $94 | Cowboys $4.7K | — |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.6K | Over $142 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $745 | Rams $3.9K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $50 | Browns $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $958 | Browns $2.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $267 | Lions $787 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $48K | Chiefs $13K | — |
| Lions vs. Dolphins same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $47K | Lions $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-13.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $11K | Dolphins $3.1K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) same side · consensus Giants | — | Eagles $3.4K | Eagles $641 | — |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Under $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $872 |
| Spread: Lions (-14.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $1.6K | Dolphins $240 | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $924 | Over $657 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.4K | Under $67 |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Saints $16 | Saints $1.4K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | Over $14 | — |