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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HomeRunHazardRN1SharkbettingCom
Record (consensus markets)50% (70–71, n=141)55% (206–170, n=376)66% (490–255, n=745)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$330K$229K-$131K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #46 + pinnedPM monthly #726
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)72% (133 of 184 open)68% (49 of 72 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%—
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)—
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)32% (won 100% of 31)13% (won 100% of 26)—
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)57% (won 100% of 55)30% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)10% (won 100% of 10)51% (won 100% of 106)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HomeRunHazardRN1SharkbettingCom
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Raptors $5.6KCeltics $36KCeltics $12K—
Wizards vs. Pacers
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $4.3KWizards $15KPacers $2.6K—
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $317Pacers $9.3KWizards $236—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $554Under $31KUnder $262—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers $91East Tennessee State Buccaneers $2.4KEast Tennessee State Buccaneers $16—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $25Cavaliers $1.9KCavaliers $102—
Magic vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Jazz $3.3KMagic $6.5K——
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $8.5K—Celtics $539—
Rangers vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $710Flames $4.8K——
Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Navy Midshipmen
—Navy Midshipmen $1.3KPenn Quakers $116—
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KUnder $4—
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. IU Indy Jaguars
opposite sides · consensus IU Indy Jaguars
—Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $1IU Indy Jaguars $620—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $18—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $80Under $323—
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $264Over $116—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Raptors $54Celtics $318—
Spread: Wizards (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Pacers $131Wizards $112—
Spread: IU Indy Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
—IU Indy Jaguars $3Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $239—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1Under $226—
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. VMI Keydets
opposite sides · consensus VMI Keydets
—VMI Keydets $25North Carolina Central Eagles $1—
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Magic $88KMagic $7.5K——
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Raptors $10K—Raptors $148—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $9.6K—Raptors $219—
Charleston Cougars vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Charleston Cougars
—Charleston Cougars $6.5KCharleston Cougars $1.3K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95Vikings $5.7K——
Spread: Pacers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $5.7KPacers $91—
Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.6KOver $3—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $162Thunder $4.8K——
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)
same side · consensus Michigan Wolverines
—Michigan Wolverines $4.5KMichigan Wolverines $68—
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-1.5)
same side · consensus Charleston Cougars
—Charleston Cougars $3.4KCharleston Cougars $666—
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.7K—Cavaliers $193—
Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5)
same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers
—East Tennessee State Buccaneers $2.7KEast Tennessee State Buccaneers $201—
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.9KPacers $104—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $842Under $309—
James Madison Dukes vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
same side · consensus James Madison Dukes
—James Madison Dukes $956James Madison Dukes $134—
Spread: Penn Quakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Penn Quakers
—Penn Quakers $594Penn Quakers $80—
Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5)
same side · consensus Furman Paladins
—Furman Paladins $536Furman Paladins $71—
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $123—Knicks $382—
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $420Over $7—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $143—Under $252—
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen
same side · consensus Massachusetts Minutemen
—Massachusetts Minutemen $387Massachusetts Minutemen $3—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $20Under $222—