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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x53eCc53E7 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (376–550, n=926) | 52% (6618–6146, n=12764) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 48% (14234–15729, n=29963) |
| Consensus PnL | $21K | $3.6M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #639 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (44 of 64 open) | 74% (113 of 152 open) | 69% (52 of 75 open) | 50% (13 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=64 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 795 at avg 33¢, ROI −2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 7% of 439) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 44% of 101) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 63% of 120) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 97% of 135) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.