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PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)40% (1385–2099, n=3484)45% (545–663, n=1208)53% (10–9, n=19)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$5.3K$11.2M$5.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #130PM monthly #1PM monthly #2was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus57% (336 of 590 open)66% (72 of 109 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Economy +12 pts n=60, ROI −15%
  • Elections +7 pts n=180, ROI −15%
  • F1 +9 pts n=25, ROI −11%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=403———
Settled positions, side won48% of 1674 at avg 48¢, ROI −19%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 4% of 401)10% (won 79% of 58)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 43% of 745)36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 56% of 114)35% (won 99% of 194)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 414)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 53 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $427No $407K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.9KYes $287K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $209No $265K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6KNo $231K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.6KYes $183K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34No $117K——
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5.8KYes $54K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $381No $47K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9KYes $39K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4KYes $33K——
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $861Yes $36K——
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $7.5KYes $26K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2KYes $29K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $598Yes $30K——
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $24K——
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.4KYes $25K——
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $78Yes $21K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2KYes $13K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.4KYes $12K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $7.7KYes $6.5K——
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $109Yes $13K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6.7KYes $6.4K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $118No $12K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6KYes $10K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.0KYes $10K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.7KYes $4.3K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $501Yes $10K——
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.6KYes $6.1K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.1KYes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.0KYes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.9KYes $4.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.3KYes $2.2K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.5KYes $4.3K——
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.6KYes $4.2K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $771Yes $6.0K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $39No $6.5K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4KYes $2.0K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.0KYes $4.2K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $4.2K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $418Yes $5.1K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6KYes $2.1K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $141Yes $4.3K——
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $419Yes $4.0K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $502Yes $3.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $843Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $302Yes $2.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $112Yes $2.0K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $233Yes $1.9K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $610No $753——
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KNo $125——