Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	beachboy4	BreakTheBank	sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)	39% (1382–2135, n=3517)	68% (43–20, n=63)	45% (542–652, n=1194)	71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL	-$60K	$5.8M	$11.0M	$4.4M
Tracked as	PM monthly #161	was PM monthly #24	PM monthly #1	was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus	62% (283 of 457 open)	100% (1 of 1 open)	87% (143 of 164 open)	no open consensus position
Strongest topics	Economy +8 pts n=32, ROI −19% F1 +7 pts n=10, ROI −3%	NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19% Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%	NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%	Soccer +51 pts n=10, ROI +52%
Weakest topic	Soccer −3 pts, n=358	NBA −6 pts, n=93	—	—
Settled positions, side won	38% of 1384 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%	57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%	97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%	100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢	28% (won 3% of 385)	3% (won 17% of 6)	10% (won 82% of 56)	0%
Entries 30–50¢	54% (won 43% of 743)	30% (won 57% of 63)	36% (won 98% of 198)	50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢	8% (won 52% of 105)	54% (won 51% of 115)	35% (won 99% of 191)	50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up	11% (won 95% of 151)	14% (won 86% of 29)	19% (won 100% of 107)	0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

91 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	beachboy4	BreakTheBank	sainttroplay
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $4.4K	—	No $919K	—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $427	—	No $407K	—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $3.3K	—	Yes $274K	—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $2.3K	—	Yes $172K	—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $109	—	No $119K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.0K	—	Yes $55K	—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No	No $3.3K	—	Yes $31K	—
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.5K	—	Yes $22K	—
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $21K	—
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.5K	—	Yes $18K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.3K	—	Yes $15K	—
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $12K	—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	No $3.0K	—	Yes $6.8K	—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $106	—	No $8.8K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $6.4K	—
Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.8K	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.6K	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.9K	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.5K	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.6K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.5K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.5K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.4K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.3K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.2K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.1K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.1K	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	No $2.1K	—	Yes $554	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $1.3K	—	Yes $408	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $897	—	Yes $275	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $1.0K	—	Yes $69	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $525	—	Yes $317	—
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes	Yes $14	—	No $129	—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No	Yes $177	—	Yes $85K	—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $231	—	Yes $83K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $65	—	Yes $48K	—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No	Yes $528	—	Yes $41K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $196	—	Yes $33K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $118	—	Yes $30K	—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	No $802	—	No $30K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $327	—	Yes $28K	—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	No $693	—	No $25K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $168	—	Yes $20K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $124	—	Yes $19K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $179	—	Yes $16K	—