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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BaddieBreakTheBanke46m3ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market97% (441–15, n=456)32% (520–1095, n=1615)57% (293–219, n=512)
Consensus PnL$582$8.4M$536K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #158
Sides with the consensus87% (103 of 119 open)76% (34 of 45 open)74% (324 of 439 open)73% (65 of 89 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)7% (won 11% of 46)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)1% (won 86% of 7)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)1% (won 75% of 8)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)90% (won 100% of 565)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaddieBreakTheBanke46m3ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $425KYes $11No $350K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $2.4KYes $318—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $108Yes $12K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $143Yes $19KYes $369—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $294——No $82K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $108—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $21No $15K——
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $20Yes $130
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $13No $38
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $5No $15
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $2Nuggets $15—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $27KYes $10—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13KYes $12—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.6KYes $512—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $34Yes $2.9K——
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56——Yes $2.4K
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $23Yes $571
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $436—Yes $27—
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $174—Yes $155—
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30—Yes $178—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $4—
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $3—
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22—Yes $113—
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25—Yes $108—
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $87—Yes $42—
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49—Yes $58—
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $67—Yes $32—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $40—
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25—Yes $56—
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52—Yes $25—
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45—Yes $21—
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $52—
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $42—Yes $20—
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27—Yes $13—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $33——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $23——
Will Colorado Avalanche be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4Yes $22
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $17—Yes $8—
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $6—
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $6—
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $6—
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $5—
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $4—
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4Yes $7
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $3—
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $6—