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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (108–126, n=234)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)
Consensus PnL$13K$1.4M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #886PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus41% (19 of 46 open)65% (77 of 119 open)70% (67 of 96 open)59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won34% of 65 at avg 20¢, ROI +10%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢69% (won 18% of 45)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 67% of 12)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 67% of 6)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 2)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4Under $872—Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Alex Michelsen $4.8K—Yannick Hanfmann $885
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $38No $1.4K——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14——No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16No $883——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6Yes $686——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $362No $328——
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $400No $176——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3Over $523——
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $238No $110——
Will Estoril Praia vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1No $337——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7Under $118——
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6No $88——
Bromley FC vs. Notts County FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2Under $57——
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36No $7——
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12No $18——
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $6——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $6.9K—Cameron Norrie $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
same side · consensus Massimo Giunta
—Massimo Giunta $356—Massimo Giunta $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $216No $40——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $231——
FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $52Over $161——
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
No $3No $185——
Will CD Pamplona win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $102No $83——
Will CD Tarancón win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $4No $100——
Spread: De Graafschap (-2.5)
same side · consensus Vitesse Arnhem
De Graafschap $26De Graafschap $66——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2Over $50——
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $19Under $12——
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $21