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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpimjustkenisgheyUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)49% (510–532, n=1042)51% (28350–27349, n=55699)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.4M$141K$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #399PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (95 of 135 open)0% (0 of 1 open)64% (47 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NHL −14 pts, n=61—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%43% of 763 at avg 43¢, ROI +3%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 25% of 75)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)68% (won 41% of 519)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)20% (won 52% of 149)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)3% (won 95% of 20)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpimjustkenisgheyUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10—Under $5.2K
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $76Vikings $1.9K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $752
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686—No $929
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $721—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $67
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $328—Yes $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $118—Over $54
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $32—No $62
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $51—Under $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $859—Under $2.0K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $1.5K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $118
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $754—Yes $279
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412—Under $606
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837—No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $872
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $956—Over $7
FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $161—Over $215
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $40—No $200
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $185—No $35
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $79
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $52
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $78—Yes $60
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $131—CD Pamplona $6
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $48—Over $5
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $7—No $23
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $18—No $6