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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpnehcnehcRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)62% (6110–3703, n=9813)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.4M-$729K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #564PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)65% (107 of 165 open)91% (10 of 11 open)52% (22 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12Politics −7 pts, n=127—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%63% of 9781 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)1% (won 18% of 98)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)25% (won 44% of 2450)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)40% (won 55% of 3955)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)34% (won 87% of 3278)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpnehcnehcRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Pelicans vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $858Warriors $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $186Wizards $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
—Alexander Ritschard $195—Luca Nardi $850
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183—Lakers $210
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Calvin Hemery
—Lucas Poullain $284—Calvin Hemery $35
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
—Luka Mikrut $102—Sandro Kopp $6
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
—Franco Roncadelli $20—Juan Sebastian Gomez $25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $15KBills $77——
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $481Warriors $3.2K—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted
same side · consensus Lui Maxted
—Lui Maxted $206—Lui Maxted $3.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166—Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Lakers $187—Lakers $248
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51—Over $29