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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankPan9XRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)57% (10213–7746, n=17959)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$21K$14.8M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #979PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)58% (63 of 108 open)60% (15 of 25 open)64% (44 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 100% of 45)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)13% (won 100% of 163)22% (won 94% of 5704)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)26% (won 100% of 329)35% (won 99% of 9204)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)58% (won 100% of 737)33% (won 100% of 8622)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankPan9XRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $46Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $339Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $78Yes $6No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $94Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $10Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $106Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $59Yes $60No $174
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $6Browns $4.2KBrowns $65
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $6Falcons $1.6KFalcons $27
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60Under $1.3KUnder $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $21—Yes $3.5K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $27
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13—Under $378
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $41—Yes $153
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9—Yes $154
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 0 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $12—Yes $126
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $30—Yes $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $19—Over $45
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $46—Over $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $301—No $15K
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $36Cardinals $7.0K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $85—Under $5.2K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $204—Under $595
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $116No $524—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $6—No $53
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 2 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $33—No $3