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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)43% (10–13, n=23)43% (1837–2469, n=4306)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$79K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #197PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (95 of 135 open)no open consensus position51% (18 of 35 open)54% (15 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 792 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 58)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 158)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 100% of 120)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 456)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $38No $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $311—Billy Harris $3.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Toyama Grouses
opposite sides · consensus Shimane Susanoo Magic
Shimane Susanoo Magic $2.5K—Toyama Grouses $9—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Tom Gentzsch $2.5K—Max Houkes $9—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $488—No $362—
Ibaraki Robots vs. Ryukyu Golden Kings
opposite sides · consensus Ibaraki Robots
Ibaraki Robots $567—Ryukyu Golden Kings $56—
Pacers vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Mavericks $431—Pacers $61—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $324—Yes $84—
Lakers vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $400—Hawks $5—
Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $279—Yes $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256——No $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $181
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $81—Yes $10—
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $35—No $44—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $50—Over $20—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
opposite sides · consensus Holger Rune
Holger Rune $62—Zizou Bergs $4—
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
same side · consensus Oleksii Krutykh
——Oskari Paldanius $134Oskari Paldanius $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Hersonissos 3: Vladyslav Orlov vs Lorenzo Angelini
same side · consensus Lorenzo Angelini
Lorenzo Angelini $1.8K—Lorenzo Angelini $2.1K—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $1.5K—Adrian Andreev $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $506—Yes $65—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $271—Over $18—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $197—Over $8—
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
——Alexandre Reco $82Alexandre Reco $75
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
No $85—No $61—
Exact Score: Riga FC 3 - 0 FC RFS?
same side · consensus No
No $33—No $50—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51——Over $29
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $43—Over $8—