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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpNagastaBagambiRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)51% (35–33, n=68)no settled market50% (65–65, n=130)67% (4–2, n=6)
Consensus PnL$61K—-$22K-$82K
Tracked asPM monthly #14—PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus70% (153 of 220 open)no open consensus position46% (40 of 87 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won————
Entries under 30¢————
Entries 30–50¢————
Entries 50–70¢————
Entries 70¢ and up————

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpNagastaBagambiRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Nuggets $3.1K—Rockets $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $132—Nuggets $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.4K—Under $12—
CS 2 de Mayo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K—Yes $33—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $445—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $836—Yes $60—
Pelicans vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $667—Warriors $213—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $95—Rockets $686—
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $689—Rockets $24—
Exact Score: Sportivo Luqueno 2 - 2 CS 2 de Mayo?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1—No $539—
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Duncan Chan
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Liam Draxl $438—Duncan Chan $70—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $122—Over $6—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka $12K—Aryna Sabalenka $84K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
same side · consensus Nicolas Mejia
Nicolas Mejia $1.7K—Nicolas Mejia $12K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Knoxville: Trevor Svajda vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $504—Max Hans Rehberg $6.1K—
Will Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K—No $295—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $619—Rockets $2.7K—
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $255—Pelicans $2.6K—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $2.0K—Raptors $129—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $1.6K—Pelicans $128—
Lima: Miguel Tobon vs Henrique Rocha
same side · consensus Henrique Rocha
Henrique Rocha $472—Henrique Rocha $1.2K—
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $844—Over $394—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $94—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Pistons $175—Pistons $976—
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $427—Raptors $637—
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $680—Suns $245—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $137—Raptors $249—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $11—Over $364—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $178—Cavaliers $118—
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Spurs $203—Spurs $58—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $113—Rockets $78—
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $75—Under $95—
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $153—Rockets $16—
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $116—Over $49—
Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $105—Over $18—