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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpgmpm2ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (33–34, n=67)100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$35K$256K$0-$53K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #17PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (170 of 248 open)0% (0 of 1 open)74% (67 of 90 open)53% (47 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12NBA −17 pts, n=33NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)4% (won 32% of 22)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)31% (won 45% of 163)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)46% (won 57% of 244)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)19% (won 85% of 98)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgmpm2ndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $445——Under $1.4K
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $225——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K——Over $22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $836——Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $162——Cavaliers $726
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $689——Rockets $119
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Nuggets $93——Rockets $669
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Warriors $481——Pelicans $128
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $316——Under $108
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256——No $12
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $81——Under $186
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Grizzlies $41——Raptors $126
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $2.8K——Clement Tabur $25K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.4K——Under $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K——Billy Harris $6.2K
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5.9K——No $39
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $3.4K——Rockets $1.5K
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $3.5K——No $260
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $894——Under $2.7K
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $605——Rockets $2.5K
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
Maximo Zeitune $68——Maximo Zeitune $2.8K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $142——Rockets $2.4K
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K——Over $1.0K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $1.8K——Pelicans $158
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $522
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $94——Under $1.1K
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $680——Suns $245
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $333——Lakers $514
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $580——No $230
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $364——Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $315
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Pistons $178——Pistons $243
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $174——Cavaliers $115
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162——Raptors $116
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $259——Rockets $13
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Spurs $203——Spurs $38
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $90——Under $114