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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677qidao001RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (33–34, n=67)no settled market85% (11–2, n=13)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$35K—-$44-$53K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #976PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (178 of 252 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position52% (49 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%52% of 150 at avg 46¢, ROI +1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 5% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 49% of 57)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 67% of 73)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677qidao001RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872——Over $3.0K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Nuggets $1.2K——Rockets $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Over $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $445——Under $1.4K
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $225——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $836——Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $162——Cavaliers $726
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $689——Rockets $119
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $93——Rockets $669
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Warriors $481——Pelicans $128
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $316——Under $108
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256——No $12
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Grizzlies $41——Raptors $126
Will Berkhamsted FC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $94——Yes $34
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $2.8K——Clement Tabur $19K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.5K——Under $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.4K
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
Nicolas Jarry $2.3K——Nicolas Jarry $11K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K——Billy Harris $6.2K
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K——No $262
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $3.4K——Rockets $1.5K
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $894——Under $2.7K
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $605——Rockets $2.5K
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K——No $559
Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8K——No $487
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K——Over $1.0K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $1.8K——Pelicans $158
Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
Facundo Mena $396——Facundo Mena $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $94——Under $1.1K
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
No $739——No $263
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $680——Suns $245
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $333——Lakers $514
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $582——No $230
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $364——Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $278——No $426
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $315
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Pistons $178——Pistons $243
Plymouth Parkway FC vs. Berkhamsted FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $351——Under $69
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $174——Cavaliers $115
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162——Raptors $116
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $256——Rockets $13