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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (33–34, n=67) | 42% (44–60, n=104) | no settled market | 50% (65–65, n=130) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $118K | $0 | -$53K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #41 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (170 of 248 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 74% (67 of 90 open) | 53% (47 of 88 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 691 at avg 51¢, ROI +48% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 2% (won 100% of 16) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 49% (won 100% of 338) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 40% (won 100% of 278) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 9% (won 100% of 59) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | Billy Harris $1.7K | Liam Broady $248 | — | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $333 | Hawks $339 | — | Lakers $514 |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $894 | Under $79 | — | Under $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | — | Over $1.8K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $128 | Mavericks $10K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Rockets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Rockets $126 | Nuggets $4.4K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $872 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3 | Over $2.3K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $445 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey | Giles Hussey $225 | — | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | — | Yes $315 |
| Kristiansund BK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | Over $47 | — | — |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | — | Over $22 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $836 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $162 | — | — | Cavaliers $726 |
| Spread: Rockets (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $689 | — | — | Rockets $119 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Nuggets $93 | — | — | Rockets $669 |
| Spread: Warriors (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Warriors $481 | — | — | Pelicans $128 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $316 | — | — | Under $108 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | — | — | No $12 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $81 | — | — | Under $186 |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Grizzlies $41 | — | — | Raptors $126 |
| Will Berkhamsted FC win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | No $99 | Yes $9 | — | — |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | Clement Tabur $2.8K | — | — | Clement Tabur $25K |
| Sopo: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Veronika Erjavec same side · consensus Elizabeth Mandlik | — | Elizabeth Mandlik $3 | — | Elizabeth Mandlik $21K |
| CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.4K | — | — | Under $14K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.4K |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $5.9K | — | — | No $39 |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $3.4K | — | — | Rockets $1.5K |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Over $124 |
| Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | — | No $260 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | No $3.2K | No $84 | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Rockets $605 | — | — | Rockets $2.5K |
| Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry | Maximo Zeitune $68 | — | — | Maximo Zeitune $2.8K |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $142 | — | — | Rockets $2.4K |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | — | Over $1.0K |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Pelicans $1.8K | — | — | Pelicans $158 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | — | No $522 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $204 | Lakers $1.1K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $94 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-23.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $680 | — | — | Suns $245 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $580 | — | — | No $230 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $747 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $364 | — | — | Lakers $416 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $250 | — | Over $313 |