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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 53% (2457–2184, n=4641) | 50% (20932–20600, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $3.2M | $15K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #105 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (308 of 399 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 57% (54 of 94 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 2% (won 95% of 22) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 32% (won 98% of 321) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 51% (won 98% of 507) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 14% (won 98% of 138) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
50 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $127 | — | SD Eibar $6 | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $499 | — | No $307 | No $15K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $33K | — | Yes $492 | — |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $15K | — | No $5 | — |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $12K | — | No $12 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz $12K | — | Arthur Fils $10 | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $11K | — | Over $2 | — |
| Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.3K | — | Yes $214 | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.0K | — | Under $34 | — |
| Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Under $5.2K |
| Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.0K | — | Under $19 | — |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.4K | — | Over $7 | — |
| Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | Over $5 | — |
| Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.9K | — | Over $18 | — |
| Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | Over $5 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $11 | Yes $775 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Over $5 |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $603 | — | Under $39 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $595 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $64 |
| Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $461 | — | Over $3 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $138 | — | — | No $249 |
| Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg | FC Red Bull Salzburg $313 | — | RSC Anderlecht $59 | — |
| Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $48 | — | Yes $203 | — |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $183 | — | Under $10 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $185 | — | Heat $5 | — |
| FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $182 | — | Under $6 | — |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $166 | — | Under $3 | — |
| Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $152 | — | No $9 | — |
| Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $144 | — | Over $3 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $122 | — | Under $4 | — |
| Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $8 | — | Under $3 | — |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $8 | Yes $3 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | No $2 | — |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $41K | — | No $14 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Under $22K |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | Yes $9 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $16K | — | No $22 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | No $5.4K |
| Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Brighton & Hove Albion FC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC $9.1K | — | Brighton & Hove Albion FC $140 | — |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $6.3K | — | No $458 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | No $2.7K |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | Yes $4.3K | — | Yes $246 | — |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.2K | — | No $21 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Under $1.5K |