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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| auros2 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (4–0, n=4) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7K | $7.9M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #253 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (117 of 212 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 69% (61 of 88 open) | 55% (30 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.