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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
e46m3Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)17% (156–789, n=945)49% (33–34, n=67)no settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$536K$35K$0-$53K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (324 of 437 open)69% (170 of 248 open)74% (67 of 90 open)53% (47 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=17NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 18% of 2197)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 53% of 397)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 71% of 531)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 97% of 2679)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markete46m3Flaznorpndb1RN1
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $42Rockets $259—Rockets $13
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $170Under $5.4K—Under $14K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11—No $350K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $445—Under $1.4K
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $225—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $836—Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $162—Cavaliers $726
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $689—Rockets $119
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $93—Rockets $669
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Warriors $481—Pelicans $128
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $316—Under $108
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $81—Under $186
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $41—Raptors $126
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18No $134——
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20—Yes $124—
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $12—No $38—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5—No $15—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5——No $3
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.8K—Clement Tabur $25K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $108—Yes $12K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9K—No $39
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.4K—Rockets $1.5K
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5K—No $260
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $894—Under $2.7K
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $605—Rockets $2.5K
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Maximo Zeitune $68—Maximo Zeitune $2.8K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $142—Rockets $2.4K
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1K—Over $1.0K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8K—Pelicans $158
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $522
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $94—Under $1.1K
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $680—Suns $245
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
same side · consensus No
No $814No $81——
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333—Lakers $514
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $580—No $230
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $364—Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Kristiansund BK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $84Over $550——