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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpomnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)50% (15547–15642, n=31189)50% (20651–20452, n=41103)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$3.1M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #145PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)69% (120 of 173 open)51% (74 of 144 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)8% (won 61% of 889)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 87% of 2410)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)38% (won 95% of 4354)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 99% of 3754)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpomnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4KAlexandra Eala $24KAntonia Ruzic $45—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494—No $15K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $238Over $37—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $16No $1.1K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus BetBoom Team
FURIA $355FURIA $239BetBoom Team $2.0K—
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Pokhara Avengers
opposite sides · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
Chitwan Rhinos $341Pokhara Avengers $24Chitwan Rhinos $70—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $133Yes $36Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.6KUnder $21K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Mai Hontama $724Mai Hontama $3.9KMai Hontama $22—
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus IF Elfsborg
—IF Elfsborg $3.6KHammarby IF $3.8K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $169—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KUnder $2.6K—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KUnder $2.4K—
Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $207No $3.0K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $108—
Will FC Vizela win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KNo $6—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $300Under $585—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $512Yes $358—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $648Yes $157—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $551Under $201—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $604Yes $3—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $64
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $294Yes $156—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139—No $249
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $165No $211—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Athletic Club $215
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $296Yes $3—
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $191Yes $73—
FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $177Under $45—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $166Hawks $11—
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $146Yes $2—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $133Yes $2—
Energetik Mingechevir vs. Shahdag Qusar FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $115Yes $2—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $81Thunder $21—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53K—Yes $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.1KNo $177—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.2KYes $40——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $37Yes $3.7K
Spread: Botev Plovdiv (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Dunav Ruse
—Botev Plovdiv $2.5KBotev Plovdiv $31—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $354—Under $840
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $8—