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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1TunSahurUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$14.8M—$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #24 + pinned—PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus60% (12 of 20 open)66% (172 of 260 open)no open consensus position66% (79 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 57% of 2538)—7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 94% of 5565)—21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)36% (won 99% of 9017)—22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 100% of 8250)—51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1TunSahurUpTheBlues
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $71—No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $21K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4KCarole Monnet $9.0K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Alex Michelsen $3.9KCarlos Alcaraz $9.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $382—Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.1K—No $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Under $3.2K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.5K—Under $753
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.2K—Under $721
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4K—Under $2.3K
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $676—No $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7—No $2.6K
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.1K—Under $154
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $223
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3—Under $1.9K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $535—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $35—Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3K—Yes $36
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $742—Yes $155
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $686—Under $9
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $689
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357Under $278——
Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $509—Under $76
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $162—No $288
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $434—Lukas Pokorny $4
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $347
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club
—Al Ahli Saudi Club $8—Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13—Under $240
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $148—Under $98
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $90—No $139
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4—Under $161
OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $133—No $20
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $134
Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $84—Yes $40
Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $76—Under $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $28—Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20—Over $5
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86KNo $4.3K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $22KMatteo Berrettini $14K——
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $5.3K——
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.6K—No $310
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $3.1K
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sevilla FC
—Sevilla FC $983—Sevilla FC $3.4K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $4.2K—Browns $65
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.5K—Under $841
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $26—No $2.3K
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $101
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $931
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $296