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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)46% (345–406, n=751)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL-$41K$3.6M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #929PM monthly #11PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (138 of 192 open)63% (30 of 48 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won98% of 350 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 90% of 10)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 123)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 98% of 209)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 8)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $600Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $42Under $801
Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13KYes $229—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Kilian Feldbausch $191Sumit Nagal $4.1K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 1 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $965No $212—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $287Ipek Oz $680—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $322Under $481—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $176Max Hans Rehberg $232—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $133—Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31No $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494—No $15K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4KNo $12K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $960
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $228—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Zsombor Piros $493Zsombor Piros $960—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $334—Under $749
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $908Under $2—
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $533No $135—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $171Anastasia Zakharova $314—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $361Kings $111—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $11Carlo Alberto Caniato $304—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129—CD Pamplona $6
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $87Under $22—