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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlphaBetaGamma2357FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (437–423, n=860)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$93K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #620PM monthly #9PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (11 of 22 open)73% (158 of 217 open)58% (78 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −18 pts, n=23Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 141)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 39% of 339)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 59% of 203)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 87% of 157)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlphaBetaGamma2357FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63Cowboys $4.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.4KYes $98
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $1.7KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $600
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Virginia Cavaliers $1.7KArkansas Razorbacks $347
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $221Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5KNo $1
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $209Camilo Ugo Carabelli $943
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $915No $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $251Virginia Cavaliers $553
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $606Over $18
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $7
CD Ñublense vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $225Under $2
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
—Arkansas Razorbacks $61Virginia Cavaliers $36
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee
—Jordan Lee $2Andres Martin $20
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $7Virginia Cavaliers $2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $76KNo $4.7K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16KNo $14K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16KNo $6.0K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12KUnder $7.2K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $6.9KOver $10K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5KNo $5.9K
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.4KNo $7.3K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $1.0K—Eagles $8.7K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.2KYes $404
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $3.5K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7KNo $2.9K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9KYes $1.4K
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2KNo $361
Princeton Tigers vs. Siena Saints
same side · consensus Siena Saints
—Siena Saints $1.5KSiena Saints $920
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $28
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
same side · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $2.0KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $26
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KYes $234
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KOver $338
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $84776ers $386
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $665No $296
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $345No $11
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $262Under $62
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $80Over $208