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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)49% (951–992, n=1943)50% (20929–20600, n=41529)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$12K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #612PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)70% (189 of 270 open)52% (52 of 100 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 100% of 26)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)17% (won 100% of 85)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)19% (won 100% of 94)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)59% (won 100% of 296)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

62 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeUpTheBlues
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $65—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2KNo $586—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9—Under $5.2K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.7KNo $5—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $599Over $92—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Athletic Club $345
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548—Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $64
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $401Over $9—
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $363Over $36—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $127—No $270
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4No $318—
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $306No $1—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $259Under $26—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $205Over $60—
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Utah $215Canadiens $2—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $8Yes $157
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $90Ryan Nijboer $27—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108Under $4—
W35 Orlando, FL: Yara Bartashevich vs Dasha Ivanova
opposite sides · consensus Dasha Ivanova
—Yara Bartashevich $72Dasha Ivanova $11—
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
—FC Lugano $3FK Kauno Žalgiris $59—
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40No $10—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Under $28—
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12Over $7—
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1No $13—
W15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Jantje Tilbuerger vs Jensen Diianni
opposite sides · consensus Jantje Tilbuerger
—Jantje Tilbuerger $4Jensen Diianni $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Under $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.2KNo $308—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.2KNo $4.2K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $3.9K—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $1.8K—
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Brighton & Hove Albion FC
—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $4.0KBrighton & Hove Albion FC $218—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $2.7KJurij Rodionov $889—
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6KNo $24—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.2KNo $2.0K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $875No $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $572—Under $1.3K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $277—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $7—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343—Under $768
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $791