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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1TeGeeLP
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)51% (70–66, n=136)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M$586K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #15PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #386
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)73% (98 of 135 open)57% (30 of 53 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 132 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)19% (won 32% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)38% (won 50% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)36% (won 66% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)8% (won 80% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1TeGeeLP
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $161—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $155Mavericks $784—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $628Over $22—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $450Bucks $87—
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $272Celtics $35—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K—
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K—Bears $28K—
Nets vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $2.0KMavericks $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.5KYes $1.2K—
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.0KBucks $113—
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KOver $975—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.7KMavericks $1.0K—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.1KMavericks $747—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2KMavericks $344—
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $678Mavericks $493—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $102—Bears $986—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
—Kings $344Kings $41—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $26—