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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdsoperativeFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)57% (257–196, n=453)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$34K$4.1M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #828PM monthly #9PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)86% (25 of 29 open)69% (99 of 144 open)54% (39 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%85% of 274 at avg 68¢, ROI +25%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)8% (won 36% of 22)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)10% (won 75% of 28)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)28% (won 83% of 78)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)53% (won 95% of 146)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankdsoperativeFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2.4K——Texans $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $121Seahawks $3.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.5KNo $174
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Lakers $758Pistons $307
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Mavericks $499Nets $144
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
——Temple Owls $36Richmond Spiders $268
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6Over $29
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6Under $2
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $58KNo $3.5K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
——Coco Gauff $9.7KCoco Gauff $49K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Lakers $6.1KLakers $84
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.9KNo $2.8K
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
——Richmond Spiders $3.7KRichmond Spiders $674
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Lakers $3.2KLakers $569
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $3.1KLakers $588
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
——Nevada Wolf Pack $894Nevada Wolf Pack $472
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Mavericks $884Mavericks $228
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $316Lakers $484
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $612Pistons $55
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $41
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
——Bakersfield Roadrunners $53Bakersfield Roadrunners $141
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $26