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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 55% (14853–12001, n=26854) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $689K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 68% (387 of 573 open) | 67% (102 of 152 open) | 60% (18 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.