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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)58% (150–110, n=260)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$14.8M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #876
Sides with the consensus76% (185 of 245 open)57% (61 of 107 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1SilentShark
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845Over $3.0KOver $92
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873Yes $315Yes $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.7K—
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $7—
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12KOver $232—
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.9KYes $5.3K—
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3KUnder $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $826No $5.2K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6KUnder $2.3K—
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $4.8KManchester United FC $12—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8KYes $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $6—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8KUnder $5—
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—Woking FC $690
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36—
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $112—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165Lions $2.1K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7KYes $255—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4KYes $109—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.0KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471No $524—
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $686Arkansas Razorbacks $237—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596—Yes $18
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $440Yes $18—
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $322Yes $37—
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $35Under $8—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20Yes $1—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $63KNo $55K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $63KYes $14K—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $56KNo $20K—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $39KNo $21K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $54KNo $4.8K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $17KNo $8.7K—
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $7.8K—
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $19KAston Villa FC $1.1K—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17KUnder $402—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12KOver $4.3K—
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.6KNo $3.6K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar
same side · consensus Jaume Munar
Jaume Munar $1.2KJaume Munar $7.1K—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.3KNo $3.2K—
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
Justin Boulais $1.7KJustin Boulais $5.5K—
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.2KNo $176—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.0KOver $250—
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.0KOver $5.2K—
Legia Warszawa vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.2KUnder $4.4K—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.4KNo $565—