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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677NM-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)53% (10–9, n=19)82% (4870–1065, n=5935)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$41K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #3PM monthly #543PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (117 of 182 open)no open consensus position68% (42 of 62 open)61% (68 of 112 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677NM-PRN1
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $855—Over $591Under $506
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $23—Clippers $430Clippers $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301——No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274——Under $1.7K
Lakers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Kings $779—Lakers $500—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $659—No $287—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $637—No $130—
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $550——Raptors $130
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $553—Over $112—
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $551——Nuggets $2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $13—
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $131——Over $351
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $133—Under $336—
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $77—Kings $372—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $253——Under $169
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $297—No $111—
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $141——Under $259
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8——Over $390
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $253——Suns $6
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $170—Seahawks $13—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $26Over $130
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $60—Yes $85—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $17——Trail Blazers $99
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $23—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Over $671—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $1.6K——Lakers $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $430—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.2K——Spurs $183
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101——Under $1.1K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $678—No $431—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $865——Under $28
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $522—No $257—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $734—No $43—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $80—No $670—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720——Under $20
Spread: Heat (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $264—Clippers $430—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $447—No $128—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $99—No $433—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $446—No $75—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $218—Xinyu Wang $279—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $367—No $118—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $293—No $166—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $176Raptors $275