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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpklli27RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)26% (395–1137, n=1532)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$32K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #132PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus70% (176 of 253 open)46% (11 of 24 open)61% (35 of 57 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections ±0 pts, n=175——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%44% of 586 at avg 45¢, ROI +8%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)51% (won 2% of 296)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)5% (won 55% of 31)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 50% of 30)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)39% (won 95% of 229)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpklli27RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $138—Yes $192No $249
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.1K—No $1.4K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $34—Under $919—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens
Sloane Stephens $344—Luciana Perry $319—
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $387—Joao Lucas Da Silva $32—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $60—Ivan Gakhov $238—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $24—Under $229—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $108—Warriors $130—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
Anna Siskova $60—Isis Louise Van den Broek $88—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132——Yes $3
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $46K—No $27K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $19K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19K—Yes $12K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499——No $15K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $4.3K—Filip Misolic $11K—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.4K—Under $8.8K—
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $5.9K—No $3.4K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.5K—Under $2.4K—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K—No $3.9K—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K—No $1.1K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K—Over $1.9K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $1.1K
Celtic FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $453—No $2.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova
same side · consensus Valeriya Strakhova
Valeriya Strakhova $973—Valeriya Strakhova $553—
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $831—No $474—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $337——Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $361——Under $595
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $589—No $109—