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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1omnibus-076daaripley86alien
Record (consensus markets)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)65% (876–462, n=1338)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$3.0M—
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #11PM monthly #60—
Sides with the consensus68% (133 of 196 open)79% (19 of 24 open)57% (80 of 140 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 16% of 160)8% (won 60% of 899)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 40% of 253)21% (won 87% of 2444)—
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 57% of 310)39% (won 95% of 4418)—
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 99% of 3709)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daaripley86alien
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.7K—Under $15K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva
opposite sides · consensus Antonia Ruzic
Antonia Ruzic $12K—Alina Charaeva $279—
India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India
opposite sides · consensus India
New Zealand $20—India $12K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.6K—Tomas Machac $1.1K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K—Yes $325—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $10—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K—Yes $363—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $84—Yes $1.2K—
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus BetBoom Team
BetBoom Team $15—Liquid $474—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $379—Yes $73—
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380—Yes $23—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $340—Over $25—
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $309—Deborah Chiesa $9—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $12—Thunder $251—
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
opposite sides · consensus Haruna Arakawa
Yuzuha Negishi $169—Haruna Arakawa $71—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $191—Yes $30—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $124—Yes $16—
Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Mattia Bellucci
Arthur Rinderknech $12—Mattia Bellucci $115—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $55—Under $41—
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
opposite sides · consensus Sara Saito
Sara Saito $2—Yuki Naito $9—
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Nagisa Suzuki
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
Nagisa Suzuki $2—Kanon Sawashiro $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $1.6K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $6.2K—No $1.6K—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K—No $798—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $6.2K—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $180—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K—No $429—
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.0K—No $84—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.5K—Yes $1.4K—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $287—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.4K—Yes $370—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K—No $21—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $730—Yes $1.5K—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K—Juan Bautista Torres $217—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—Yes $65—
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $1—
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $236—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Over $15—
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $111—No $1.0K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $1.1K—Daniil Medvedev $14—
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $1—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $327—No $624—
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $742—No $108—
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $492—Joaquin Aguilar $277—
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $50—Spurs $698—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Katie Boulter $598—Katie Boulter $68—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $652—Over $2—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $567—No $18—
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $477—No $33—
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
No $30—No $301—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $249—Over $5—