Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.6M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #48PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus71% (112 of 158 open)78% (7 of 9 open)60% (54 of 90 open)67% (40 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4KUnder $67
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25K—Yes $15K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $15K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $6.4KSeahawks $4.3K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $8.0K—Olympique de Marseille $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $5.6KSeahawks $942—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K—Yes $2.9K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.9K—Yes $3.1K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.5K—Over $3.1K—
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $1.7KSeahawks $2.1K—
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $141—No $3.0K—
Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2KOver $1.6K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $186Seahawks $2.1K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $752
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K—Yes $39—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $686——No $929
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
Club Atlético de Madrid $935—FC Barcelona $88—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $904—Under $37—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $654—Over $4—
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
FK Kolos Kovalivka $217——FK Polissia $270
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $280—Over $161—
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $112—Over $265—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280——Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2—Over $51—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $17—Bulls $3—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $102K—No $29K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $49K—No $23K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $31K—No $21K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $37K—No $3.5K—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $26K—No $4.1K—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $26KPackers $3.1K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $12K—Linda Noskova $10K—