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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alvahunter | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (29–52, n=81) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 47% (1430–1597, n=3027) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.4K | $1.4M | $3.7M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (143 of 221 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (40 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 32 at avg 42¢, ROI +54% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 82% of 11) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 5% (won 95% of 59) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 90% of 10) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 40% (won 99% of 512) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 90% of 10) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 50% (won 100% of 633) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 5% (won 100% of 65) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alvahunter | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | — | Over $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | — | Tom Gentzsch $5.2K | — | Max Houkes $648 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $872 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | — | Under $324 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $169 | — | Cavaliers $708 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $709 | — | Over $15 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $421 | — | Over $241 |
| Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $619 | — | Yes $7 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $412 | — | Under $56 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $256 | — | No $12 |
| Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $148 | — | Yes $85 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Nuggets $25 | — | Rockets $146 |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Grizzlies $39 | — | Raptors $126 |
| Knoxville: Daniel Milavsky vs Kenta Miyoshi opposite sides · consensus Daniel Milavsky | — | Daniel Milavsky $34 | — | Kenta Miyoshi $1 |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | — | Clement Tabur $2.5K | — | Clement Tabur $27K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.4K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | — | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.2K | — | Under $4.3K |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $671 | — | Under $2.6K |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.8K | — | No $45 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169 | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | Pelicans $1.8K | — | Pelicans $158 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $556 | — | Lakers $495 |
| Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați? same side · consensus No | — | No $265 | — | No $667 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $333 | — | Lakers $461 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $364 | — | Lakers $416 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $578 | — | No $34 |
| Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | — | No $136 | — | No $409 |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Pistons $186 | — | Pistons $243 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $290 | — | No $2 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $170 | — | Cavaliers $115 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Raptors $162 | — | Raptors $116 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $77 | — | Under $196 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $90 | — | Under $114 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $31 | — | Under $145 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |