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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorprayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6603–6153, n=12756)53% (2583–2302, n=4885)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$8.9K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (285 of 413 open)57% (75 of 132 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=962, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)2% (won 96% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)32% (won 98% of 337)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)51% (won 98% of 533)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)14% (won 97% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorprayvanmechelen
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.0KOver $5
Will Esenler Erokspor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KNo $11
Volos NPS vs. AE Kifisia FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.7KOver $10
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $303Yes $961
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $366No $568
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $868Karl Friberg $3
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $854No $2
Will FC Torpedo Belaz Zhodino win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $231Yes $586
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
—Adrian Mannarino $735Jan Simonsson $2
Will Bromley FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $357Yes $365
Will Hansa Rostock win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $689No $1
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $376No $6
Spread: Boreham Wood FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Boreham Wood FC
—Boreham Wood FC $345Wigan Athletic FC $5
Spread: Atlético Nacional (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Deportivo Pereira
—Deportivo Pereira $253Atlético Nacional $10
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $197Under $2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183Under $10
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $169Over $10
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129SD Eibar $5
FK Kudrivka vs. FK Chornomorets Odesa: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $100Under $10
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $72Over $3
Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $52Under $4
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $29No $7
Will MŠK Žilina win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $17No $10
Will SS Arezzo win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $20
Will FK Transinvest vs. FK Kauno Zalgiris end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $11No $10
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $10Over $11
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $11No $6
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $10Cavaliers $6
Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5No $10
D.C. United SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4Under $9
Nets vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $2Nets $9
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $21KOver $3
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $11KNo $10
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.1KUnder $8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $6.7KNo $3
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7KNo $21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3.4KNo $7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $8
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.5KUnder $11
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
same side · consensus AIK
—AIK $2.4KAIK $10
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.3KNo $3
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KOver $6
Will Blackpool FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.0KNo $8
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $52
Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.2KNo $10
Will FC Halifax Town win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $17
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $11
CD La Serena vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $540Over $528
Will GD Chaves win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $835No $185
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KUnder $10