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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (428–388, n=816) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $411K | $7.7M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #692 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (42 of 59 open) | 73% (140 of 193 open) | 56% (82 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $16K | No $23K | No $63 |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Bulls $2.5K | 76ers $797 | 76ers $371 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $179K | — | Cowboys $1.9K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $105K | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $101K | — | Cowboys $2.0K |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $67K | — | Eagles $20 |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $37K | — | Eagles $8.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $11K | — | Eagles $1.5K |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | — | Commanders $320 | Rams $11K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | — | Racing Club de Lens $5.7K | Olympique de Marseille $3 |
| Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | Yes $108 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04 | — | — | FC Schalke 04 $2.0K | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | — | Brown Bears $299 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.3K | No $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $231 | Virginia Cavaliers $564 |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $240 | — | 76ers $155 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $349 | Virginia Cavaliers $2 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $334 | Under $7 |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $285 | No $10 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $159 | Under $93 |
| Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $241 | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks | — | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $6 | Virginia Cavaliers $49 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $45K | Colts $63 | — |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $18K | No $14K |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $17K | Under $8.8K |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $17K | Under $7.7K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $18K | — | Chiefs $1.6K |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Rams $13K | — | Rams $5.9K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $7.1K | Over $10K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $3.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | — | CD Cobresal $13K | CD Cobresal $3.5K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.7K | No $2.3K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $7.1K | No $6 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.4K | No $2.9K |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.8K | Yes $1.8K |
| Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $5.5K | No $1 |
| Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $934 | No $4.4K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.2K | Over $732 |
| Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.0K | No $419 |
| Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Andres Martin | — | — | Andres Martin $2.8K | Andres Martin $22 |