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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)39% (402–630, n=1032)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)50% (20929–20600, n=41529)
Consensus PnL$24K$3.5M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #152PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)71% (199 of 281 open)55% (16 of 29 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicMentions −2 pts, n=57Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 1724 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 2% of 680)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 44% of 43)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 82% of 44)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 957)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572Over $3.3KUnder $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $127Yes $176No $270
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42Under $791
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548—Yes $2
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
—GenOne $2Brute $523—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16KYes $11K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2KYes $5.4K—
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Philip Henning
—Philip Henning $2.0KPhilip Henning $8.0K—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $90Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $1.9K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343—Under $768
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $364—Under $601
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $270Over $686—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $138—Yes $65
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $48Julio Cesar Porras $19—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6—No $60
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $12—Yes $2