Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241	beachboy4	BreakTheBank	VictorLudorum
Record (consensus markets)	56% (101–79, n=180)	67% (43–21, n=64)	45% (547–663, n=1210)	54% (4634–3878, n=8512)
Consensus PnL	$3.5M	$6.1M	$11.0M	$154K
Tracked as	was PM monthly #373	was PM monthly #24	PM monthly #1	PM monthly #166
Sides with the consensus	no open consensus position	100% (1 of 1 open)	57% (64 of 113 open)	74% (133 of 180 open)
Strongest topics	MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49% Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47% Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%	NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19% Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%	NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47% Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%	none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic	—	NBA −6 pts, n=93	—	Elections −1 pts, n=1079
Settled positions, side won	94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%	57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%	97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%	67% of 4851 at avg 68¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢	7% (won 75% of 8)	3% (won 17% of 6)	10% (won 81% of 57)	27% (won 2% of 1290)
Entries 30–50¢	26% (won 93% of 29)	30% (won 57% of 63)	36% (won 98% of 201)	4% (won 35% of 183)
Entries 50–70¢	42% (won 96% of 47)	54% (won 51% of 115)	35% (won 99% of 196)	5% (won 59% of 227)
Entries 70¢ and up	24% (won 96% of 27)	14% (won 86% of 29)	19% (won 100% of 109)	65% (won 97% of 3151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241	beachboy4	BreakTheBank	VictorLudorum
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $287K	No $236
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $235K	No $1.0K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $88K	No $36
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $77K	No $222
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $66K	No $222
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $54K	No $211
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $50K	No $225
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $40K	No $221
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $38K	No $224
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $38K	No $223
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $36K	No $65
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $34K	No $224
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $30K	No $734
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $29K	No $225
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $28K	No $224
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $25K	No $225
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $20K	No $226
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $18K	No $226
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $18K	No $226
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $18K	No $226
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $16K	No $226
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $16K	No $225
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $15K	No $226
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $14K	No $227
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $7.7K	No $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $14K	No $22
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $12K	No $226
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $1.7K	No $7.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $8.5K	No $225
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $4.3K	No $227
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $4.3K	No $227
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $3.6K	No $678
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $4.1K	No $22
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $3.6K	No $220
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2.4K	No $22
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2.0K	No $224
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2.0K	No $227
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2.1K	No $22
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $2.1K	No $22
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2.1K	No $22
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2.1K	No $22
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2.0K	No $22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $282	No $351
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $11	No $224
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2	No $225
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No	—	—	No $1.6M	No $97
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No	—	—	No $258K	No $5.6K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No	—	—	No $125K	No $65
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No	—	—	No $119K	No $787
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	—	—	No $47K	No $224