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PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)39% (1519–2350, n=3869)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$88K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #161PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (251 of 372 open)90% (149 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • Economy +8 pts n=32, ROI −19%
  • F1 +7 pts n=10, ROI −3%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −3 pts, n=358—
Settled positions, side won38% of 1384 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 3% of 385)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 43% of 743)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 52% of 105)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 95% of 151)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

95 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBank
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.0KNo $902K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $427No $407K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.3KYes $274K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3KYes $172K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $125No $118K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $6.8K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $107No $8.8K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $177Yes $85K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $897Yes $83K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.1KYes $40K
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $442Yes $36K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $214Yes $31K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $802No $30K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $132Yes $29K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $104Yes $28K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $251Yes $28K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $693No $25K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $152Yes $20K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $117Yes $20K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $165Yes $16K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $677Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $90Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $145Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $71Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $100Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $33Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $115Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $86Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $59Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $75Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $50Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $61Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $64Yes $9.1K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80Yes $8.9K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $77Yes $8.6K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $64Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $44Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $58Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47Yes $6.5K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $48Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $32Yes $6.4K