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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BiggggggggBreakTheBanke46m3RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)17% (155–762, n=917)51% (71–68, n=139)
Consensus PnL-$2.1K$8.4M$536K-$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (159 of 194 open)84% (37 of 44 open)73% (317 of 433 open)51% (54 of 105 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)7% (won 11% of 46)—
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)1% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)1% (won 75% of 8)—
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)90% (won 100% of 565)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

51 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiggggggggBreakTheBanke46m3RN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $425KYes $11—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $108—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $318—
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $100—Yes $6—
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $17—Yes $59—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $42Rockets $19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $33—Yes $25—
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42—Yes $6—
Will Zoran Stojiljković be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $11—Yes $19—
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $11—Yes $9—
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5—Yes $5—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $3
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $108—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $27KYes $10—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $369—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13KYes $12—
Will xAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.9K—Yes $5.8K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.6KYes $512—
Will any other outcome occur in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $825—Yes $388—
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1—Yes $372—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $4—
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $3—
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $155—
Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $104—Yes $10—
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3—Yes $104—
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $86—
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $87—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $40—
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $34—Yes $29—
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2—Yes $59—
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Rockets $36Rockets $24
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25—Yes $3—
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $26—
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $10—
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $10—
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $10—
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $10—
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11—Yes $10—
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $9—
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11—Yes $10—
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $10—
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13—Yes $7—
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $11—
Will Emiliano García-Page be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13—Yes $7—
Will Félix Bolaños be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13—Yes $7—
Will Juanma Moreno be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13—Yes $7—
Will Salvador Illa be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13—Yes $7—
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $6—
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $6—
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $6—