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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Unit70
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)33% (18–37, n=55)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #797
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)70% (133 of 190 open)57% (42 of 74 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%52% of 23 at avg 32¢, ROI +54%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)48% (won 18% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)35% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)17% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Unit70
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $63KNo $13K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $25KYes $11K—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $26KNo $2.0K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $26KNo $121—
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14KNo $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.1KOver $79—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liverpool FC
—Crystal Palace FC $5.9KLiverpool FC $215—
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.0KOver $16—
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.9KYes $172—
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chelsea FC
—Chelsea FC $4.0KSunderland AFC $1—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.1KUnder $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
—AIK $3.2KBK Hacken $465—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $32—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $251Under $2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $395KNo $55K—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $119KYes $16K—
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $50KSunderland AFC $4.7K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $5.9KToby Samuel $31K—
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $23KUnder $13K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $22KNo $14K—
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $20KUnder $883—
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11KUnder $10K—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $15KNo $4.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will AC Monza win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.4KNo $649—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $6.7KOver $3.3K—
Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9KNo $3.9K—
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.3KNo $475—
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.3KUnder $903—
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1KNo $25—
AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $766Over $912—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $40Yes $5—