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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | justbusiness1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (310–15, n=325) | 49% (33–34, n=67) | no settled market | 50% (65–65, n=130) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $35K | — | -$53K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #760 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (33 of 38 open) | 69% (163 of 236 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (42 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | Politics −8 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 87% of 368 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 4% (won 27% of 15) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 30% (won 85% of 112) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 58% (won 92% of 212) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 8% (won 93% of 29) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | justbusiness1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | — | Over $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $872 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.0K | — | Yes $2 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $33 | — | Rockets $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $445 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $836 | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $162 | — | Cavaliers $726 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Nuggets $93 | — | Rockets $711 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $682 | — | Over $22 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $316 | — | Under $108 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $256 | — | No $12 |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Grizzlies $41 | — | Raptors $126 |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | Bills $215K | Bills $77 | — | — |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | — | Clement Tabur $2.6K | — | Clement Tabur $25K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.4K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | — | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.2K | — | Under $4.2K |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $3.6K | — | Rockets $1.4K |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $642 | — | Under $2.6K |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $163 | — | Rockets $2.4K |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | Pelicans $1.8K | — | Pelicans $158 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $993 | — | Over $916 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $94 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-23.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $680 | — | Suns $245 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $747 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $364 | — | Lakers $416 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $333 | — | Lakers $441 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $655 | — | No $39 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $580 | — | No $3 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $315 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Giles Hussey | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $33 | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $424 |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Pistons $178 | — | Pistons $243 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $196 | — | Under $185 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $84 | — | Under $234 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $174 | — | Cavaliers $115 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Raptors $162 | — | Raptors $116 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Spread: Rockets (-10.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Rockets $142 | — | Rockets $98 |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Spurs $201 | — | Spurs $38 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $39 | — | Under $179 |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $90 | — | Under $114 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $45 | — | Over $29 |