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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1rayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)63% (988–572, n=1560)53% (2445–2143, n=4588)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.2M$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #104was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus72% (174 of 243 open)75% (100 of 133 open)64% (49 of 76 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)2% (won 95% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)32% (won 98% of 321)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)51% (won 98% of 507)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)14% (won 98% of 138)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1rayvanmechelen
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $12K—Quentin Halys $10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $307
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $765—Over $8
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $550—Yes $9
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280—Yes $173
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
FC Red Bull Salzburg $165—RSC Anderlecht $33
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $194—Under $2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $183—Under $10
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $93—Yes $77
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $129—Under $20
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127—SD Eibar $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $103—Over $2
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $97—No $8
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $74—Under $16
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $68—Under $14
SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $49—Under $9
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $26—Under $6
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $8—Under $3
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $3—Vaishnavi Adkar $4
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K—No $21
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $3.4K—Coleman Wong $10
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $983—No $989
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.4K—Over $9
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $11
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $893—No $80
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $875—No $10
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
Sydney FC $696—Sydney FC $10
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $576—No $9
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $514—Over $10
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $448—No $15
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $438—Lorenzo Musetti $10
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $403—No $10
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $301—No $7
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $273—Sorana Cirstea $10
Will PKR Svay Rieng win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $182—No $12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $130—No $1
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $117—No $13
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Facundo Acosta
Filip Misolic $112—Filip Misolic $10
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $113—Daniel Milavsky $9
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $91—Under $6
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $77—No $5
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $49—Over $5
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
same side · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
Tiphanie Lemaitre $40—Tiphanie Lemaitre $10
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9—Under $7