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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| auros2 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (38–0, n=38) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #266 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (165 of 255 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 66% (35 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
48 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.