Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-P
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)46% (1164–1342, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M-$10K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #654
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)67% (207 of 310 open)71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)—
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-P
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
opposite sides · consensus Tommy Paul
—Tommy Paul $19KDaniel Merida Aguilar $13
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Learner Tien $11KLuca Van Assche $289
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint
—Maria Sakkari $3.0KMaya Joint $290
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.8KNo $1.1K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $2.6KTomas Machac $127
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KNo $469
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.1KNo $1.2K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $344
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $651No $232
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $305No $567
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Alex de Minaur
—Alex de Minaur $639Tomas Etcheverry $175
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $477No $152
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $161No $115
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $258Yes $2
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3Yes $193
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $62Yes $65
Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $43Yes $6
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23Yes $21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765K—No $22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.3K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.7KOver $575
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5KNo $1.3K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.4KNo $985
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.1KNo $1.1K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.1KUnder $875
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.4KNo $1.3K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.5KNo $801
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.1KOver $214
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8KNo $29
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.8K
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $632
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $895
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.1KUnder $113
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $380No $1.2K
Will Viking FK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.1KNo $430
Exact Score: FC Porto 0 - 0 SSC Napoli?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $327
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $849No $293
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $323No $741
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $833Under $190
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $317Yes $690
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $685No $297
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $387No $298
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $529No $60
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $577Over $2
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $11No $544
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $522No $32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $515No $28
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $96No $412
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $477No $16
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $352Over $135