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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-PUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)57% (8453–6477, n=14930)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M-$261K$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #465PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)67% (104 of 156 open)56% (40 of 71 open)64% (44 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 4441 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 99% of 262)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)21% (won 100% of 919)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)22% (won 100% of 983)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)51% (won 100% of 2277)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-PUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7KNo $1.8KNo $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $585No $3.1K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $1.2KYes $153
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.2KUnder $21K
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $814Yes $22Yes $290
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $292K—No $26—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10—Under $5.2K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K—No $25—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $561—No $1.1K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $460Yes $674
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $721—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $560—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $64
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $67Chiefs $403—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $328—Yes $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $117—Over $54
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $163Seahawks $7—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $42—No $50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6Yes $81—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51—Under $12
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $23—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $30KNo $579—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $1.5K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $5.4K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.9KNo $1.3K—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $7.8KNo $1.3K—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.0KNo $2.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.4KNo $211—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $1.5K—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.2KNo $271—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.6KNo $578—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $613—Under $1.4K
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $398—
Will Club Brugge win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $281—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $104
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $813No $386—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $742No $349—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $7
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $797No $232—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837—No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $406—Under $595