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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)82% (5569–1212, n=6781)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$148K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #548PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)72% (213 of 295 open)78% (91 of 117 open)55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 99% of 259)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 895)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 954)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2163)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

66 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-PRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
—Tomas Etcheverry $10KRinky Hijikata $357Tomas Etcheverry $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $187No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Amandine Hesse
opposite sides · consensus Amandine Hesse
—Dalma Galfi $676—Amandine Hesse $10K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.7KNo $762—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KOver $5—
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $116No $1.2K—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $912Yes $315—
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $33—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Taylor Fritz $537Arthur Fils $463—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $607No $235—
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $701No $51—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553No $187—
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
—GenOne $2—Brute $622
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $487Yes $42—
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $15No $378—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $170Seahawks $7—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $111—
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4Yes $109—
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $41No $31—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $21—Oriana Gniewkowska $5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $723—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—Yes $5.5K
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $2.6K—Jurij Rodionov $8.2K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $4.9K—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.2KNo $536—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $226—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $942—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $1.9K
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $865No $1.8K—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8KNo $763—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.2KNo $1.2K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $867No $1.3K—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.2KNo $798—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $367—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $810No $969—
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $938No $602—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $686No $750—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KUnder $287—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KUnder $284—
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $503No $721—